by Chaos Rules
Madonna (ILLITERATE BUNCH) has done well winning a qualifier over 1 & 1/2M latest but is passed over primarily for lack of stamina
Lady Shiva (NEMESIS STUD) won a qualifier over 1 3/4M easing home in front of Madonna but despite a maiden win over 2M (run in a slow time) doesn’t truly stay so has to also be passed over. The Kurgen has two wins over shorter but will not stay so is readily dismissed.
Never Passionate (BLACK CAT RACING) has had a good season and it was well worth entering the qualifiers despite not staying even 1 & 3/4M. Cyclonic Alpha took a few runs but eventually won his maiden by 8L. He improved on the bare form of that when running second to Guard Of Honour, looks the stronger stayer and will find the 2LB turnaround useful so plenty of reason for optimism.
Guard Of Honor (NPMJ RACING) has shown high class form culminating in a easy qualifier win over 2m fast beating Cyclonic Alpha and Neodymium. Should go well but the extra burden could be telling over this trip for her. Guilty Pleasure is talented but has a double penalty and the trip is way beyond her scope.
Neodymium (BIGBOYSTEVE) has run well over the trip but not strongly enough to suggest that he can take this.
Duffie (ANFIELD ROAD) dead-heated with Clifford in a early season qualifier over this trip but seemed to despise the extra 2LB next time out finishing tailed off and recent form not overly inspiring.
Clifford (KDS) was well beaten over 1 3/4M following his tie with duffie and would need to improve.
Legendary Racer (CLOSUTTON COGNAC) has won over the trip but couldn’t cope with several of these when stepped up in class so will need to find significant improvement.
Swayzee (OCALA FARMS) despite some good efforts also has stamina limitations to overcome.
ANALYSIS: With stamina at a premium there are very few realistic contenders. CYCLONIC ALPHA is selected to blow away Guard Of Honour and co.
ODDS: CYCLONIC ALPHA 5/2 Fav, Guard Of Honor 11/4, Legendary Racer 7/1, Neodymium 8/1, Lady Shiva 10/1, Duffie 11/1, Madonna 12/1, Clifford 14/1, Swayzee 16/1, The Kurgen 20/1, Never Passionate 25/1, Guilty Pleasure 33/1